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Trade for Monday December 13, 2010
Written by Barry Battista on December 12, 2010 – 8:43 pm -
4:45 PM EST
NZD Retail Sales - Change in total value of sales at the retail level.
NZD/USD
This can be a decent trade, particularly for the Straddle. In September it came out at -.4 and -.2 (on row 2). The spike was 20 pips, OK for a small deviation. The data for row 1 actually came out 1 second BEFORE the 6:45 release time. This is very rare. Row 2 was several seconds later. It hung out in the 20+pip profit neighborhood for awhile. In October it came out at -.3 and -.8 with a spike of 35 pips. The spike happened in advance of the Oracle Trader getting the data which is common for NZD and AUD. In November it came out on a Sunday at 4:45 PM so we could not trade it. I would recommend triggers of .6 medium and .8 safe on row 1, and 1 medium and 1.5 safe on row 2. Be quick to turn off the OT in the event the spike comes before the data. Trade small lots on the OT since it is not likely the data will come out on time. If you are a Straddle trader, you might consider passing on the OT altogether since the data is prone to being late.
On the Straddle I will use a maxspread of 8 since the spread on the NZDUSD is normally 5. With the Straddle we don’t care if the data comes out on time or not, we just want a good spike. If we don’t get at least 20 pips on the initial spike, close out fast.
Good luck.
Tags: NZD Retail Sales
Posted in Forex News Trading Live |
Trade for Monday December 13, 2010
Written by Barry Battista on December 12, 2010 – 8:43 pm -
4:45 PM EST
NZD Retail Sales - Change in total value of sales at the retail level.
NZD/USD
This can be a decent trade, particularly for the Straddle. In September it came out at -.4 and -.2 (on row 2). The spike was 20 pips, OK for a small deviation. The data for row 1 actually came out 1 second BEFORE the 6:45 release time. This is very rare. Row 2 was several seconds later. It hung out in the 20+pip profit neighborhood for awhile. In October it came out at -.3 and -.8 with a spike of 35 pips. The spike happened in advance of the Oracle Trader getting the data which is common for NZD and AUD. In November it came out on a Sunday at 4:45 PM so we could not trade it. I would recommend triggers of .6 medium and .8 safe on row 1, and 1 medium and 1.5 safe on row 2. Be quick to turn off the OT in the event the spike comes before the data. Trade small lots on the OT since it is not likely the data will come out on time. If you are a Straddle trader, you might consider passing on the OT altogether since the data is prone to being late.
On the Straddle I will use a maxspread of 8 since the spread on the NZDUSD is normally 5. With the Straddle we don’t care if the data comes out on time or not, we just want a good spike. If we don’t get at least 20 pips on the initial spike, close out fast.
Good luck.
Tags: NZD Retail Sales
Posted in Forex News Trading Live |
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